How Long Will XRP Price Rally Continue?

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The XRP price has recently shown signs of consolidation after a powerful upward surge that saw gains of over 440% in just four weeks. After failing to突破 $2.75, the asset pulled back slightly, finding support near $2.40. While short-term volatility is expected, the broader momentum remains strongly bullish. Investors are now asking: how long can this rally sustain, and is a new all-time high within reach?

This latest price movement marks one of the most significant XRP rallies in nearly eight years. According to market analyst Income Sharks, the current bullish streak has lasted four weeks and two days—already an impressive run in crypto markets known for rapid reversals. The analyst remains optimistic, suggesting that XRP could extend its rally into a fifth consecutive week. “Maybe this time we can make it to 5 weeks before the red candle comes,” they noted, highlighting growing confidence in sustained momentum.

👉 Discover how market sentiment is shaping XRP’s next big move.

Technical Outlook: Is XRP Building Toward $4.21?

Crypto analyst CrediBULL Crypto has shared a highly optimistic projection, suggesting that XRP could see another 100% increase, potentially reaching $4.21. This forecast is based on wave pattern analysis, which indicates that XRP is currently advancing through the third subwave of a larger bullish structure.

According to CrediBULL, the first two subwaves have already completed their phases—the second being notably short and sharp—while the initial leg of the third subwave appears confirmed. With two more anticipated waves still ahead, the path toward surpassing XRP’s previous all-time high becomes increasingly plausible.

“In my opinion, we’re just getting warmed up. The ascent is going to be pure mania,” the analyst stated, dismissing concerns that the rally has peaked.

Such technical confidence is backed by strong market structure developments, including rising trading volume, increased open interest, and growing participation from large holders—commonly referred to as "whales."

Whale Accumulation Signals Strong Institutional Demand

One of the most telling signs of sustained bullish momentum is the surge in whale activity. Over a single weekend, wallets holding between 1 million and 10 million XRP collectively purchased 160 million XRP, valued at approximately $380 million**. This isn’t an isolated event—over the past three weeks, these mid-tier whales have accumulated a staggering **679.1 million XRP**, worth around **$1.66 billion at current prices.

This accumulation trend coincides with XRP reaching its highest valuation in nearly seven years, reinforcing the idea that smart money is positioning itself for further upside. Additionally, on-chain data from Santiment reveals that the number of non-empty XRP wallets has now surpassed 5.5 million—a historic milestone in the asset’s eight-year lifespan.

Such widespread adoption and wallet growth suggest deepening network engagement, which often precedes major price breakouts.

👉 See how whale movements influence price trends in real time.

Ripple’s Escrow Unlock: Myth vs. Reality

A recurring concern among retail investors is Ripple’s monthly escrow unlock of 1 billion XRP. Many fear this leads to massive sell pressure. However, recent data paints a different picture.

While Ripple did unlock 1 billion XRP from escrow three days ago, it immediately re-locked 770 million tokens for another five years. This means only a fraction—around 230 million XRP—remains available for potential market distribution.

CrediBULL Crypto addressed this misconception directly:

“The ‘Ripple unlocks 1B tokens every month to dump on you’ narrative has been repeatedly debunked so many times now that anyone still pushing that narrative at this point has to be doing it for engagement or is simply being willfully ignorant.”

This strategic re-locking demonstrates Ripple’s long-term commitment to limiting circulating supply and supporting price stability—even during periods of high market excitement.

Market Metrics Confirm Bullish Sentiment

At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.73**, reflecting a **12.67% weekly gain** and a market capitalization of **$155 billion. Daily trading volume has surged by 54%, now exceeding $4 billion, signaling strong liquidity and investor engagement.

Open interest in XRP futures has also climbed by 4% to $4.35 billion, according to Coinglass—a clear indicator of growing trader confidence and leveraged positions betting on further upside.

These metrics collectively point to a healthy, maturing rally—not a speculative bubble ready to burst.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Is the XRP rally over after failing to break $2.75?
A: Not necessarily. While $2.75 acted as resistance, pullbacks are normal after sharp rallies. With strong support at $2.40 and continued whale accumulation, the broader uptrend remains intact.

Q: Can XRP really reach $4.21?
A: While no price target is guaranteed, technical analysts like CrediBULL base this forecast on Elliott Wave patterns and historical momentum. If macro conditions stay favorable and regulatory clarity improves, such a move is within reach.

Q: Why aren’t Ripple’s monthly unlocks crashing the price?
A: Because most unlocked tokens are immediately re-locked. Only a small portion enters circulation, and Ripple uses these funds primarily for operational expenses and strategic partnerships—not uncontrolled selling.

Q: How does whale activity affect XRP’s price?
A: Large purchases by whales often signal strong conviction. When whales accumulate during rallies instead of selling into strength, it typically indicates they expect much higher prices ahead.

Q: What would stop the XRP rally?
A: A major regulatory setback, broad crypto market correction, or sudden whale distribution could dampen momentum. However, current on-chain data shows no signs of such reversals.

Q: Is now a good time to buy XRP?
A: Timing the market is risky. However, with strong fundamentals, rising adoption, and positive technical structure, many analysts view current levels as a strategic entry point for long-term investors.

👉 Explore real-time trading tools to evaluate your next move with confidence.

Final Thoughts

The current XRP rally is more than just a speculative spike—it's underpinned by technical strength, institutional-grade accumulation, and improving market infrastructure. While short-term corrections are inevitable, the combination of whale demand, limited sell pressure from Ripple, and growing network adoption suggests that this bull run may have room to run.

Whether XRP reaches $4.21 or beyond depends on broader market sentiment, regulatory developments, and continued trust in Ripple’s ecosystem. But one thing is clear: this rally is far from over.