The XRP market is showing strong signs of a turnaround, both legally and technically. On June 28, 2025, key momentum indicators flashed bullish signals just as Ripple Labs announced it would drop its cross-appeal in the long-standing legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This dual development—technical strength and regulatory clarity—has reignited investor confidence and positioned XRP for potential upward movement.
XRP Balance of Power Shifts to Buyers
On June 28, 2025, XRP’s Balance of Power (BOP) indicator reached 0.86, a notably strong positive reading. The BOP metric measures the dominance between buyers and sellers in the market. Values approaching +1 indicate intense buying pressure, while readings near -1 reflect seller control.
This surge into bullish territory suggests that institutional and retail buyers are regaining control after months of market indecision. Since early 2025, the BOP had oscillated between positive and negative values, reflecting uncertainty among traders. However, the latest spike above 0.80 breaks this pattern and aligns with a broader technical breakout—specifically, XRP’s exit from a falling wedge formation on the daily chart.
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A sustained BOP above 0.7 could signal the start of a new bullish phase. If buying pressure continues, analysts expect XRP to test resistance levels near $0.75–$0.80 in the coming weeks. The current momentum reflects growing confidence, likely fueled by improving legal clarity and renewed interest in utility-driven digital assets.
MACD Signals Imminent Bullish Crossover
Another key technical indicator—the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)—is also turning positive. As of June 28, the MACD histogram printed at 0.00768, indicating a narrowing bearish gap and early momentum shift.
The MACD compares the 12-day and 26-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) to detect changes in trend strength and direction. Currently, the MACD line (blue) is at -0.02264 and rising, while the signal line (orange) sits at -0.03032. The two lines are converging rapidly, suggesting a potential bullish crossover could occur within the next few trading sessions.
When the MACD line crosses above the signal line accompanied by expanding green histogram bars, it traditionally confirms bullish momentum. This pattern would validate the breakout from the falling wedge and support further upside.
Traders are watching for volume confirmation to ensure this isn’t a false breakout. Historically, when both BOP and MACD turn positive simultaneously, XRP has seen price increases of 15–30% over the following 30–60 days—especially when aligned with favorable macro or regulatory news.
Ripple Drops SEC Cross-Appeal: Legal Clarity in Sight
In a major development on June 28, 2025, Ripple Labs CEO Brad Garlinghouse announced that the company will drop its cross-appeal against the SEC. In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Garlinghouse described the move as a decisive step toward “closing this chapter once and for all.”
This decision follows a June 27 court order in which U.S. District Judge Analisa Torres rejected a joint motion by Ripple and the SEC to reduce Ripple’s $125 million civil penalty and lift an injunction on institutional sales of XRP. The judge declined to modify her prior rulings, stating there was no legal basis to revisit them.
With that door closed, Ripple’s leadership chose strategic retreat over prolonged litigation. Chief Legal Officer Stuart Alderoty confirmed that the company faced two options: continue appealing the institutional sale ruling or accept the judgment and move forward. Ripple selected the latter.
Importantly, Alderoty emphasized that the legal status of XRP remains unchanged. The court previously ruled that XRP is not a security when sold on public exchanges to retail investors—only certain institutional distributions were deemed unregistered securities offerings under Article 5 of the Securities Act.
This nuanced but critical distinction has long been central to Ripple’s defense and to broader crypto regulatory debates in the U.S.
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The original SEC lawsuit, filed in December 2020, alleged that Ripple raised $1.3 billion through unregistered securities sales using XRP. In August 2024, Judge Torres issued a partial summary judgment: retail sales were not securities, but institutional sales were. She imposed a $125 million fine—significantly less than the SEC’s initial $2 billion demand.
Now, with Ripple dropping its appeal, attention turns to the SEC. If the regulator also withdraws its appeal—as widely expected—the case will be fully concluded, ending one of the most influential crypto lawsuits in U.S. history.
Why This Matters for XRP and the Crypto Market
The Ripple-SEC case has had far-reaching implications for digital asset regulation in America. Its resolution sets a precedent for how utility tokens like XRP are classified under U.S. law.
With clearer regulatory footing, exchanges may relist XRP with greater confidence, institutional investors could increase exposure, and developers might accelerate projects built on Ripple’s payment infrastructure.
Moreover, market psychology plays a crucial role. After years of uncertainty, the removal of legal overhang can act as a powerful catalyst—even more so when combined with strong technical signals.
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Is XRP now considered a security?
A: No. The U.S. court ruled that XRP is not a security when sold to retail investors on public exchanges. Only certain institutional sales were classified as unregistered securities offerings.
Q: What does Ripple dropping its appeal mean for XRP’s price?
A: It removes lingering legal uncertainty, which markets typically reward with increased investor confidence and capital inflows—especially when combined with positive technical trends.
Q: Could the SEC still take further action against Ripple?
A: Unlikely. With both parties moving toward resolution and no new motions filed, the case is expected to close formally once the SEC drops its own appeal.
Q: What are the next key price levels for XRP?
A: Immediate resistance sits around $0.75–$0.80. A confirmed breakout could open the path toward $1.00, depending on volume and broader market conditions.
Q: How reliable are BOP and MACD signals for XRP?
A: Historically, these indicators have provided early warnings of trend shifts in XRP’s price, especially when they align with fundamental developments like regulatory milestones.
Q: Where can I track real-time XRP price and indicators?
A: You can monitor live charts and technical metrics on major trading platforms with advanced analytics tools.
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Final Outlook: A New Chapter for XRP
As legal clouds lift and technical indicators turn decisively bullish, XRP stands at a pivotal moment. The convergence of regulatory resolution and market momentum creates fertile ground for renewed growth.
While past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, the current setup—positive BOP, imminent MACD crossover, falling wedge breakout, and reduced legal risk—paints an optimistic picture for mid- to long-term holders.
For traders and investors alike, this moment underscores a broader truth: in crypto markets, clarity often becomes the most valuable catalyst of all.