Bitcoin at Key Resistance as Crypto Markets Face Selling Pressure – Can Ethereum’s Rally Hold?

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The cryptocurrency market faced renewed selling pressure on Monday, October 31, mirroring a gap-down in the Nasdaq index and triggering a broad pullback across digital assets. At 10:35 a.m. Eastern Time, the global crypto market cap stood at $1 trillion—down 0.7% over the past 24 hours and trading below a 1.6% decline. This sudden shift in sentiment comes after two weeks of steady recovery, raising questions about the sustainability of the recent bullish momentum.

Total trading volume across the crypto market dropped 7.6% to $78.42 billion over the same period, signaling reduced liquidity and cautious investor behavior. Decentralized Finance (DeFi) contributed $4.18 billion to this volume, accounting for 5.3% of total activity—a stable but not expanding share, suggesting that while DeFi remains integral, it’s not driving the current market narrative.

Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies, Chain (XCN) and Chainlink (LINK) emerged as top performers. XCN surged 13.7% to $0.057, likely fueled by renewed interest in interoperability protocols and cross-chain infrastructure. LINK followed with a 6.44% gain, closing at $8.03, reflecting confidence in oracle networks amid growing demand for reliable off-chain data in smart contracts.

On the flip side, Toncoin (TON) and Axie Infinity (AXS) led the losses. TON dropped 6.49% to $1.52, possibly due to profit-taking after recent gains tied to Telegram’s ecosystem expansion. AXS fell 5.04% to $9.09, continuing its struggle to regain momentum despite updates within its gaming and NFT ecosystem.


Bitcoin Tests Critical $21,000 Resistance

Bitcoin (BTC), the market leader and primary trendsetter, has been consolidating between $20,300 and $21,000 for five consecutive days following a successful break above its weekly resistance at $20,340. This consolidation phase suggests a retest of newly converted support levels—a common pattern after significant breakouts.

As of Monday’s session, BTC traded near $20,331, down 1.4% on the day. While this slight pullback may appear bearish, technical analysts view it as a healthy correction within an ongoing bullish setup.

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A daily candle close above $21,000 would confirm renewed bullish momentum and could propel Bitcoin toward $22,000—an upside potential of approximately 7.75%. This move would align with historical patterns where sustained breaks above key resistance levels trigger accelerated buying.

However, failure to hold above $20,300 could invalidate the bullish thesis and open the door to a deeper correction. A drop below this level might signal weak conviction among buyers and could lead to a retest of lower supports near $19,500 or even $19,000, depending on macroeconomic conditions and broader risk sentiment.

Market participants are closely watching on-chain metrics such as exchange outflows and whale accumulation trends, which continue to show accumulation behavior—hinting that long-term holders remain confident despite short-term volatility.


Ethereum Forms Bullish “Rounded Bottom” – Is a Breakout Imminent?

Ethereum (ETH) has been carving out a promising technical formation known as a "rounded bottom" or "elliptical bottom" on its daily chart—a pattern often associated with prolonged accumulation before a major upward move.

The recent rebound pushed ETH above the $1,550–$1,565 resistance zone, a critical threshold that had previously acted as strong supply. However, persistent selling pressure has kept prices from sustaining gains above this level. At the time of writing, Ethereum trades around $1,554.

Despite the pullback, the structure of the rounded bottom remains intact. If ETH can close a daily candle above $1,565 with strong volume, it would confirm buyer dominance and likely trigger a retest of the next major supply zone at $1,800—a potential 16% upside from current levels.

Breaking above $1,800 would further validate bullish sentiment and could attract institutional inflows, especially if coinciding with positive developments in Ethereum’s ecosystem—such as increased Layer-2 adoption, protocol upgrades, or favorable regulatory clarity.

Conversely, a failure to hold above $1,500 could undermine the pattern and lead to another leg lower toward $1,450 or $1,400 in the worst-case scenario.


Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: What is a rounded bottom pattern in crypto trading?
A: A rounded bottom is a long-term reversal pattern characterized by a gradual decline, a flat base, and a symmetric rise—shaped like a "U." It signals that selling pressure has exhausted and buyers are gradually stepping in. In Ethereum’s case, this pattern suggests a potential breakout if key resistance levels are confirmed.

Q: Why is Bitcoin’s $21,000 level so important?
A: The $21,000 mark represents both psychological significance and technical resistance. A confirmed close above this level on a daily chart indicates strong buyer conviction and often leads to follow-through buying. Historically, such breaks have preceded rallies of 5–10% or more.

Q: How does Nasdaq performance affect cryptocurrency markets?
A: Cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and Ethereum, have increasingly shown correlation with tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq. Risk-on assets tend to move together; when tech stocks sell off due to rate concerns or economic data, crypto often follows due to overlapping investor bases and sentiment drivers.

Q: What factors could accelerate Ethereum’s price recovery?
A: Key catalysts include rising usage of DeFi and NFT platforms built on Ethereum, continued growth of Layer-2 solutions reducing fees, upcoming protocol upgrades (like further EIPs), and potential ETF approvals or institutional adoption.


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Final Outlook: Caution Meets Opportunity

While Monday’s selloff introduced short-term uncertainty, the broader technical picture remains cautiously optimistic for both Bitcoin and Ethereum. The consolidation phase in BTC is typical before a directional breakout, and ETH’s rounded bottom formation suggests accumulating strength beneath the surface.

Investors should monitor key levels closely:

Volume confirmation will be crucial—breakouts without strong participation may fail.

Market cycles often reward patience during consolidation periods. Those positioning ahead of confirmed breakouts may benefit from favorable risk-reward setups—especially if broader financial markets stabilize in early November.

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